Iran's Arc of Influence

Israel will focus on expanding settlements in the West Bank and undermining U.S.-Iran negotiations as it seeks to cement the gains it has made under Trump.

As statements of support or caution begin to emerge, Stratfor analyzes countries’ initial responses and their likely reactions to the final outcome.

The U.S. presidential candidate has said he’d be open to re-entering the nuclear deal if Iran returns to full compliance, but Tehran would demand the reversal of Trump’s many sanctions before doing so.

Israel would likely try to derail any diplomatic progress between a potential Biden administration and Tehran by escalating its attacks against Iranian forces across the Middle East.

For the first time, the U.S. has sanctioned Lebonese leaders with only indirect ties to the Iran-backed group, undercutting the potential for political and economic reforms that require Hezbollah's support.

For Israel, the benefits of a stronger regional alliance to counter Iran will likely outweigh the cons of granting the UAE previously denied access to advanced weaponry.

Tehran will restrain its response to White House's latest sanctions threat for fear of alienating Europe, as well as a potential new U.S. administration.

Israel and the UAE have announced their intention to normalize relations for the first time in either country's history, setting a precedent for other states to follow suit.

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's appeal against efforts to impeach Rouhani will slow, but not stop, parliamentary action against his administration in its final year.