Iran's Arc of Influence

Both Israel and Iran are signaling they are prepared to increase tensions in an attempt to influence Tehran's negotiations with the Biden administration.

Tehran's increased nuclear and naval activity in recent days risks provoking a military response in the region, including a potential U.S. strike on Iranian soil.

The easing of the Qatar blockade may help resolve the current GCC crisis, but it won't unite Arab Gulf states’ divergent regional policies.

In this episode of the Essential Geopolitics podcast, Emily Donahue speaks to senior global analyst Matthew Bey about a new bill in Iran that could force the nuclear issue sooner rather than later.

Netanyahu’s right-wing rivals will capitalize on popular discontent with his delayed West Bank annexation push and corruption charges.

Israel will focus on expanding settlements in the West Bank and undermining U.S.-Iran negotiations as it seeks to cement the gains it has made under Trump.

As statements of support or caution begin to emerge, Stratfor analyzes countries’ initial responses and their likely reactions to the final outcome.

The U.S. presidential candidate has said he’d be open to re-entering the nuclear deal if Iran returns to full compliance, but Tehran would demand the reversal of Trump’s many sanctions before doing so.

Israel would likely try to derail any diplomatic progress between a potential Biden administration and Tehran by escalating its attacks against Iranian forces across the Middle East.