Without a sustainable solution from Moscow, a lack of rainfall and access to fresh water resources will increasingly threaten Crimea's industrial and agricultural consumption.
Minsk’s continued pursuit of new energy partners despite Russia’s resumption of oil deliveries will enable it to negotiate more favorable terms in a potential integration agreement with Moscow.
By Sim Tack
Ukraine's desire for a new-and-improved Minsk Protocol will likely only delay any hopes for a peaceful resolution to the ongoing conflict by burning its bridges with Russia.
By Sim Tack
Without access to Ukranian water, replenishing Crimea's near-dry resources will force Russia to either front costly infrastructure projects -- or abandon its economic hopes for the region.
Following Moscow's move to cut off its oil supply, Belarus has, for the first time, threatened to tamper with the transit of Russian oil exports to Europe.
Following Russia's move to cut off its oil exports, Belarus is on the hunt for new suppliers. But the need for cheaper oil will likely drive Minsk back to Moscow before long.
If Russia overplays its hand, Belarus could instead mover toward the West, setting the stage for a potential geopolitical showdown in Minsk.
As it seeks to counter U.S. interests in Latin America, Russia is turning to an old playbook. But instead of arming Marxist groups with weapons, this time Moscow's arming anti-government protesters with rhetoric.