As long as his symptoms remain mild, the impact will be primarily limited to soft-power gains for the U.S. peer competitors such as China, as well as potential political and recruitment gains for militant groups
Pyongyang will likely refrain from reaching out to the United States for dialogue and from major strategic weapons system tests before the end of 2020.
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.
The U.S. will not abandon South Korea given its value in deterring both North Korea and China. Washington will, however, continue to reshape its overseas force posture.
By Rodger Baker
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.
In this episode of the Essential Geopolitics podcast from Stratfor, a RANE company, Emily Donahue speaks to Asia-Pacific Analyst Evan Rees about why tensions are rising on the Korean Peninsula.
The demolishment of an inter-Korean liaison office highlights how Pyongyang's mounting spat with Seoul over propaganda balloons could prompt a larger military response, such as increased activity along the border.
Despite President Moon's adroit handling of the health crisis, the deepening global recession will hamstring his ability to translate that success into progress on his ambitious economic agenda.
The regime’s opacity makes it difficult to assess the actual status of its leader's health. But the outsized risk of a post-Kim transition still warrants a review of succession scenarios.
From sorting out where to go to developing options for escape, knowing how to evacuate a country can help diplomats and expatriates make the best of an emergency.
By Ben West
